Tag Archives: Sabato’s Crystal Ball

Larry Sabato’s revised 2016 presidential field … Jeb moves to top

Larry Sabato's Crystal BallBy Lynn R. Mitchell

The University of Virginia’s Larry Sabato has come out with the latest Crystal Ball analysis of the 2016 presidential lineup for Republicans and, not surprisingly, it centers mostly around the only candidate to (almost) announce so far, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush (who, technically, is surveying the landscape — political code for “he’s running”).

Sabato, long-time director of the U.Va. Center for Politics, noted the turtle mix-up that occurred over the holidays with Jeb Bush’s announcement which shot him to the top of the list, although he did not have far to go because he had been near the top of the list for a while.

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Sabato’s Crystal Ball’s latest forecast for 2014

By Lynn R. Mitchell

Senate Forecast: Cloudy with a Good Chance of Republican Majority. That’s the latest this morning from Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball as the final days tick down to Election 2014.

Virginia is in the “Likely Democrat” column but that remains to be seen. In these final days of the campaign, Ed Gillespie has successfully chiseled away at Senator Mark Warner’s Teflon veneer to expose Warner’s 97 percent voting record with President Barack Obama as well as his lack of getting much done in the senate the past six years.

On Wednesday the Washington Post’s Fact Checker gave Warner Three Pinocchios for a startlingly inaccurate TV ad, picking it apart and exposing the lies, only to have the Warner campaign state that they stand with the ad.

Meanwhile, other senate candidates are also battling it out right down to the finish line. The Crystal Ball covers each one, adding fodder for political junkies following Election 2014.

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Larry Sabato’s ‘Crystal Ball’ partners with Politico

By Lynn R. Mitchell

The University of Virginia’s Center for Politics and political science professor Dr. Larry Sabato announced on Thursday an important partnership (see Politico, Crystal Ball announce new partnership):

The University of Virginia Center for Politics and Politico are pleased to announce an exclusive media partnership to offer readers interactive ratings from Sabato’s Crystal Ball on Senate, House, and gubernatorial races.

The new feature on Politico’s website shows which way the Center believes a race is leaning each week as well as the logic behind changes in ratings.

“Partnering with Politico is an exciting next step for the Crystal Ball, and we look forward to contributing our race ratings and analysis to one of the top political news outlets in the country,” said Larry J. Sabato, director of the University of Virginia Center for Politics.


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